PhD : Urban sprawl and the cost of fire risk: an assessment by simulation and artificial intelligence
28 Mar 2024
Job Information
- Organisation/Company
CNRS - Sciences pour l'environnement- Research Field
Geography » Economic geography
Computer science » Modelling tools
Mathematics » Applied mathematics- Researcher Profile
First Stage Researcher (R1)- Country
France- Application Deadline
19 Apr 2024 - 22:00 (Europe/Paris)- Type of Contract
Temporary- Job Status
Full-time- Hours Per Week
35- Offer Starting Date
1 Sep 2024- Is the job funded through the EU Research Framework Programme?
Not funded by an EU programme- Is the Job related to staff position within a Research Infrastructure?
No
Offer Description
Come and Work for a 3 years Phd Position in Corsica ! Multidisciplinary research Open for master students in Geography or Economics or Applied Mathematics or environmental science or Couter Science.
The objective is to capitalize on a transdisciplinary simulation/artificial intelligence/economics approach already developed as part of a previous (FireCaster) program in order to study the impact of urban sprawl on the cost of fires. Urban sprawl increases the costs of fires, but can constitute a barrier to their progression. The thesis will endeavor to quantify these different impacts according to the scale and form taken by the sprawl.
The purpose of the thesis will be to study the impact of choices made in terms of land use on the importance of fire risk. The effects of urban sprawl have been the subject of abundant literature in urban economics since the 1990s. But the link between urban sprawl and fire risk does not appear central in this literature. However, episodes of endangerment and destruction of homes are increasing. When homes are not destroyed, their simple proximity to fire zones forces intervention forces to deploy means to protect human lives, contributing at least indirectly to the cost of fires.
The proximity of housing can have contradictory effects on the economic impact of a fire. On the one hand, inhabited areas are generally less rich in fuels, and can constitute a barrier against fire. On the other hand, they considerably increase the cost per hectare burned in the event of combustion.
In order to quantify these impacts, the doctoral student will rely on the simulation tools developed as part of the FireCaster program (see PhD of Frederic Allaire https://theses.fr/2021SORUS037 ). These tools, which revolve around the ForeFire fire simulator , make it possible to simulate costs associated with forest fires in Corsica. They also integrate an uncertainty quantification module based on drawings of calibrated sets of parameters as input to the simulation model. The very large number of simulations necessary for a fine mesh of the territory is carried out thanks to a simulation emulator using deep learning techniques in artificial intelligence. It is important to note that although most of these tools have already been developed and tested, they still need to be adapted to the context of urban sprawl. The technical feasibility of the subject is thus almost assured.
The assessment of the impact of urban sprawl on fire risk will have two dimensions: the first will concern the extent of urban sprawl, the second will concern the particular forms taken by this sprawl. The first dimension will be addressed by simply comparing the fire risk of sensitive urban and peri-urban areas with a counterfactual based on land use prior to urban sprawl. The second will have to integrate alternative scenarios concerning the urban forms taken by recent residential areas (compact, dispersed, fragmented, etc.)
Although the tools developed within the framework of FireCaster have been configured for the Corsican terrain, they are naturally transposable, and will allow the doctoral student to study contexts of urban sprawl concerning agglomerations of larger dimensions than island agglomerations.
The doctoral student will have to put the results of his simulations into perspective, so as to provide public decision-makers with information on the foreseeable consequences of future urban development projects on fire risk.
Director: Jean-Baptiste Filippi - CR CNRS UMR SPE (HDR)
[email protected]
tel 04 95 45 01 58
Co- Director: Antoine Belgodere - MCF UMR LISA (non-HDR)
tel 04 95 45 00 38
[email protected]
Don't hesitate to contact us
Requirements
- Research Field
- Geography » Economic geography
- Education Level
- Master Degree or equivalent
- Research Field
- Economics
- Education Level
- Master Degree or equivalent
- Research Field
- Computer science
- Education Level
- Master Degree or equivalent
- Research Field
- Environmental science
- Education Level
- Master Degree or equivalent
- Research Field
- Mathematics
- Education Level
- Master Degree or equivalent
Skills/Qualifications
Economy , geography, numerical calculation, statistics, heat transfers.
Master Applied Economics , Master Info or Master Risks
Internal Application form(s) needed
ECOFIREPhD.pdf
English
(139.14 KB - PDF)
Download
ECOFEUFrench.pdf
English
(141.72 KB - PDF)
Download
Additional Information
Benefits
1700 eur / mont, student status, possibility to give lectures with additional remuneration
Selection process
Selections made by end of June by a jury, send an email to :
Director: Jean-Baptiste Filippi - CR CNRS UMR SPE (HDR)
[email protected]
and
Co- Director: Antoine Belgodere - MCF UMR LISA (non-HDR)
[email protected]
As first. Full file will require to have your Master grades for last semester.
- Website for additional job details
https://ecole-doctorale.universita.corsica
Work Location(s)
- Number of offers available
- 1
- Company/Institute
- CNRS/SPE/Università di Corsica
- Country
- France
- State/Province
- Corsica
- City
- Corte
- Postal Code
- 20250
- Street
- campus grimaldi
- Geofield
Where to apply
[email protected]
Contact
- State/Province
Corsica- City
Corte- Website
https://spe.universita.corsica/- Street
Sciences, BP 52- Postal Code
20250
[email protected]- Phone
+33495450158- Mobile Phone
+33685207351
STATUS: EXPIRED